Bitcoin exchange users claw back bear market losses
Compiled by on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, exchange withdrawal figures confirm that at $37,000, a user’s purchase is on aggregate “in the black.”
Bitcoin returned multiple investor cohorts to profit when it retook $30,000 last month, but current prices are having an impact on BTC buyers who entered much earlier.
According to Glassnode, which monitors the aggregate price at which coins left exchange wallets each year since 2017, $34,700 is the magic number for turning a profit on investment.
Put another way, anyone who withdrew Bitcoin from a major exchange since Jan. 1, 2017, is up in dollar terms compared to the year of withdrawal.
This includes those who purchased during Bitcoin’s last bull run year, during which BTC/USD hit all-time highs of $69,000.
The last time BTC/USD traded above all the post-2017 cost basis lines was at the end of 2021.
“The average withdrawal price for Bitcoin investors across all yearly classes are now in profit,” Checkmate, Glassnode’s lead on-chain analyst, wrote in X (formerly Twitter) commentary about the data on Nov. 21.
New realized price records flow in
Exchange withdrawal realized price adds another key line in the sand to the current BTC price range.
Related: Bitcoin stalls below $38K as analysis hints ‘Notorious B.I.D.’ is back
As Cointelegraph reported, $39,000 is also an important profitability mark, reflecting the price at which 2021 bull market buyers on aggregate return to profit.
That level also forms the lower bound of popular analyst Credible Crypto’s pre-halving BTC price target range, which bounded to the upside by $50,000. The halving is due next April.
Meanwhile, James Van Straten, research and data analyst at crypto insights firm CryptoSlate, revealed a new all-time high for the total Bitcoin realized price — the complete acquisition cost of the BTC supply.
Short-term holders’ (STH) coins, which refer to the portion of the supply beyond exchanges that has moved in the past 155 days, now also have a higher acquisition cost than ever before.
The total realized price and STH realized price now stand approximately $10,000 apart, at around $20,930 and $30,460, respectively.
“This ascension emphasizes an increased probability of these coins being spent on a given day and signifies the influx of new investors, with a remarkable 3% surge being the highest since May 2023,” Van Straten wrote.